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Agenda Overview

Tuesday September 27


06.30 Departure on optional field trip to Aludium Alicante plant


13.30 Optional Pre-conference Seminar

SUSTAINABILITY AND THE
ALUMINIUM STEWARDSHIP INITIATIVE


Aluminium holds great potential in terms of future demand growth – provided it can maintain its edge over competing materials from a sustainability standpoint. The Aluminium Stewardship Initiative, involving companies from along the aluminium value chain as well as other key stakeholders, is now moving into the implementation stage and will have a real impact on businesses. This Seminar will bring you up to date on the current status and future goals of the ASI, and how ultimately its material stewardship standards can help to make your aluminium or aluminium-containing item the product of choice.

Presenters:
Rosa Garcia Pineiro, Global Sustainability Vice President, Alcoa and President, Alcoa Foundation, Switzerland
Roland Dubois, Strategic Marketing Director – Global, Rio Tinto Aluminium, Canada
Jerome Lucaes, Director Marketing & Sustainability, UC Rusal, Switzerland
Jose Manuel Perez, Business Development Manager, Schüco Iberia, Spain
Geoff Matthews, Vice President, Energia Potior, New Zealand


16.00 Optional Pre-conference Workshop

METAL BULLETIN’S ALUMINIUM PREMIUMS AND PRICING

 

  • How does MB gather information for and assess aluminium premiums?
  • What are the regulatory and compliance aspects for MB and contributors to its premium price assessments?
  • How the market uses MB aluminium premiums?
  • Future developments in MB's premium pricing

Presenters:
Alex Harrison, Editor, Metal Bulletin, UK
Jethro Wookey, Senior Aluminium Correspondent, Metal Bulletin, UK
Paolo Sorze, Pricing and Compliance Manager), Metal Bulletin, UK



17.45 Return of field trip
 

18.00 Registration and Welcome Reception sponsored by Access World


 

Wednesday September 28


08.30 Opening remarks
 

08.40 Executive Industry Panel

Moderator: Raju Daswani, Managing Director, Metal Bulletin Group, UK

Senior aluminium executives examine and discuss global industry challenge and strategy

  • Politics, economics, demographics – how are these impacting on aluminium industry fortunes?
  • To what extent will a slowdown in China impact on global aluminium demand growth?
  • Can western smelter discipline achieve a more balanced market while China continues to invest in new capacity?
  • Low aluminium prices – a headache for producers but maybe an opportunity for new markets?
  • Will transportation – particularly automotive – continue to drive demand forward, or do other end-use sectors hold similar potential?
  • Raw materials, energy and other inputs – what challenges lie ahead for smelters and are they being adequately addressed?
  • What structural changes and strategies would provide the best route to growth and profitability for all in the industry value chain?
  • Keeping on innovation and R&D on track at a time of low prices and reduced budgets
  • Is the aluminium industry truly addressing the issues of sustainability, resource stewardship and the environment?


Panellists include:
Steve Fisher, President & CEO, Novelis, USA
Vladislav Soloviev, CEO, UC Rusal, Russia
Ali Al Zarouni, SVP Jebel Ali Operations and Technology Development & Transfer, Emirates Global Aluminium, UAE
Dr Mark White, Former Chief Engineer Body Complete Business Unit, Jaguar Land Rover, UK
Samir Cairae, CEO-Diversified Metals (Aluminium & Copper), Vedanta Group, India
Benedikt Zeumer, Partner, McKinsey & Co, Germany


 


10.00 Refreshment break sponsored by ABB


 

Session II: Change and challenge up and midstream

Moderator: Ron Knapp, Secretary General, International Aluminium Institute, UK

10.30 Keynote address: Strategies for survival and success in primary smelting

  • Examining smelter cost trends – and implications for funding and investment
  • How much further can we go down the line in pot line efficiencies?
  • The increasing environmental burden – will this lead to a focus on clean energy?
  • Beyond low energy costs, what other cost-containing options are available to the smelter?
  • Anode and other emissions – what challenges lie ahead and are there solutions available?

Oleg Mukhamedshin, Deputy CEO, UC Rusal, Russia

 



11.00 Energy availability and costs – key determinants in smelter industry health

  • Are we now in a sustained period of lower oil, gas and thus energy prices or will the longer term picture prove challenging once again?
  • How do energy costs compare on a region by region basis? What contractual arrangements are most favoured by smelters?
  • Aluminium and sustainability: will renewable sources of energy gain the upper hand in the longer term?

Arvid Moss, EVP Energy & Corp Business Development, Norsk Hydro, Norway



11.25 Bauxite and alumina dynamics – implications for aluminium smelters

  • How have bauxite and alumina fundamentals shifted in the past 12 months?
  • Regional imbalances – how are these impacting on prices?
  • With refineries under price pressure, are the cuts in smelter output being reflected in alumina availability?
  • The shifting sands of bauxite supply – how sustainable and reliable are the newer sources?
  • Will the recovery in alumina values so far this year be sustained?
  • What patterns are being seen in bauxite prices and pricing?

Andrew Wood, Group Executive Strategy & Development, Alumina Ltd, Australia


 

11.50 Session III: The Markets Panel - analysts share and compare views

Moderator: Perrin Faye, Acting Editor and Head of Physicals, FastMarkets Ltd, UK

  • Where is aluminium currently in the commodities cycle?
  • What does the forward curve tell us about the state of aluminium?
  • And what of the macro-economic indicators?
  • Have smelter cutbacks had any real effect?
  • What impact is China having on balances and prices?
  • How heavily are stock levels weighing on the market?
  • Is buyer interest for second half 2016 a sign of strengthening demand?
  • Can we hope for better times in 2017?

Panellists:
Nicholas Snowdon, Metals Analyst, Global Research, Standard Chartered Bank, UK
Andreas Hommert, Head of Research, Citrine Capital Management, USA
Sunil Sharma, Head of Corporate Commodities Sales for EMEA, J P Morgan, UK

 

 



13.00 Lunch sponsored by Aludium


 

Session IV: Prices, premiums and terminal market product development


14.30 Tracking, analysing and forecasting physical market premiums

  • What sort of relationship has there been between premiums, stocks and the all-in price?
  • To what extent have currencies, interest rates or tariffs, rather than supply-demand fundamentals distorted premiums?
  • Are they now back at what would be deemed a “normal” historical level?

Cao Yang, Metals Analyst, Metal Bulletin Research, UK



14.45 Latest developments in the aluminium premium market

  • The key moments of 2016 in MB's global aluminium premiums
  • Premiums in 2017: spot vs long-term contract
  • The crucial points of discussion for 2017 contracts

Jethro Wookey, Senior Aluminium Correspondent, Metal Bulletin, UK



15.00 An update of aluminium contract developments on the CME

  • Reviewing usage and volumes of the premium contracts
  • Are the overseas regional premium contracts proving as popular as the Midwest?
  • Will the success in the premium contracts help lift interest in the exchange’s physical aluminium contract?
  • Going global - what synergies – or otherwise – are there with other exchange-traded aluminium instruments?

Lucy Shitova, Manager, Metals Products, CME Group, USA



15.25 Aluminium on the LME – responding to the market needs of today and tomorrow

  • Who uses the LME aluminium contracts and how?
  • What trends are apparent in terms of turnover, open interest and physical movements?
  • The LME premium contracts – providing a regional solution for global price divergence?
  • What benefits are market making, the Liquidity Roadmap, and third Wednesday contracts expected to bring?

Matthew Chamberlain, Head of Business Development, London Metal Exchange, UK


15.50 Q&A

  • Has hedging the premium become unnecessary in what is today a much more manageable all-in price scenario?
  • Have they made it easier for consumers to hedge forward purchases?
  • Do regional premium contracts necessarily equate to diluted liquidity?
  • Is the market maker model providing the desired impetus?
  • What sort of costs are entailed in using and clearing the contracts?


16.00 Refreshment break sponsored by ABB

 


 

 

Session V: What does the future hold for Europe’s aluminium industry?

Moderator: Archie Hunter, Deputy Editor, FastMarkets Ltd, UK


16.30 Is it possible to create a sustainable primary aluminium smelter model in the European Union?

  • Given high energy costs and emissions controls, is primary smelting per se destined for extinction?
  • Can combining a high level of recycling and remelting with primary smelting provide a solution?
  • Are there strategic reasons to maintain a degree of smelting expertise and capacity in the region?
  • How have tariffs and trade barriers impacted on the competitiveness of the European industry?
  • Improving energy efficiency and reuse as a path towards sustainability
  • How important it is to add value for example with a varied casthouse product mix or by delivering liquid aluminium?

Uday Patel, Senior Research Manager – Aluminium Markets, Wood Mackenzie, UK



16.55 Examining the sustainability of Southeastern Europe’s primary smelting business in an oversupplied, low-price global marketplace

  • What is the current status of the region’s smelting business?
  • What are their strategies in the battle to survive?
  • Where are the main markets for Southeastern European aluminium?
  • How do they fare in terms of costs and productivity?
  • Are these smelters still enjoying transitional measures within the EU or are they competing now on an even field?
  • Are there opportunities for investors, and what are critical areas/points?

Goran Djukanovic, Analyst/Consultant, Aluminium Insider, Montenegro



17.20 Creating a more viable downstream business in the EU through tariff elimination

  • How dependent is the EU on imported aluminium and how much incurs duties?
  • How does the existing duty structure impact overall on metal prices to the consumer?
  • Import tariffs on recycled aluminium– do these go counter to the EU’s Circular Economy strategy?
  • Examining the cost of a zero tariff scenario to both importers and EU producers and recyclers

Mahmood Daylami, Secretary General, Gulf Aluminium Council, UAE


 

17.45 Classical cocktail reception hosted by Rusal

With music by talented Russian violinist Asya Sorshneva.
This performance will be joined by Carlos Piñana on the Spanish guitar


 

Thursday September 29

08.45 Opening remarks


Session VI: China: industry fundamentals in the world’s predominant marketplace


08.50 How is China’s refining and smelting business restructuring to meet economic, state and trade imperatives?

  • New smelter developments in China – where, how much, when – and at what cost?
  • The shift north and west – what does this mean for the new low-cost smelters in terms of logistics, raw materials and market accessibility?
  • As smelter capacity grows, what does this mean for the alumina:aluminium balance?
  • What strategies are refiners adopting to secure bauxite from abroad?
  • What impact will economic reform, energy policy and environmental controls have on the country’s smelting sector?

Qin Junman, Vice President, NFC - China Non-ferrous Metal Industry’s Foreign Engineering and Construction Co Ltd, China


 


09.20 Aluminium demand in the world’s biggest consumer

 

 

  • How vital is it to global balances that Chinese demand growth continues?
  • Which sectors and applications are holding up best and which are struggling?
  • How is Chinese government policy impacting on investment and aluminium demand?
  • Do off-market inventories remain high in China?
  • Downstream investments – have these been overdone and if so will this translate to increasing semis exports?

Sunny Huang, Senior Analyst Aluminium, BGRIMM Lilan Consulting, China

 

 


Session VII: Improvement and innovation in the downstream segment

09.50 Latest technological achievements in aluminium casting, flat, long, processing and extruded products
Sean Carter, Executive Sales Manager, Danieli Fata Hunter, UK


10.15 Applying Lean manufacturing principles and practice to aluminium milling and fabricating

  • What is Lean manufacturing and what are its objectives? 
  • Eliminating waste to  improve quality while reducing production time and costs 
  • Continuous improvement, flexibility, automation and supplier relationships as tools to achieving Lean production

Manuel Ruano, Chief Operating Officer, Aludium, Spain


10.40 Refreshment break


 

11.10 Session VIII: Drivers and deterrents for increased aluminium usage in the automotive sector

 

  • Has automotive industry growth plateaued in the more mature markets?
  • Can emerging market demand take up the slack – and what will this mean for supply chain considerations?
  • What potential for increase sheet and other aluminium items does the light commercial vehicle segment offer?
  • Are aluminium producers and mills risking putting “too many eggs in one basket” with their automotive investments?
  • Has demand for aluminium auto sheet lived up to expectations? Indeed are more investments needed in some regions?
  • What potential is there for growth in automotive extrusions?
  • To what degree is regulation across the continents driving innovation and materials choices?
  • Lightweighting in North America, but has Europe chosen a different path to reduce fuel consumption and emissions?
  • Does the aluminium car body still essentially remain the preserve of high-end autos in Europe?
  • Are consumers really concerned about buying smaller, lighter cars – especially with current low prices for fuel?
  • How much do commodity prices and hedgeability affect car manufacturers’ decision-making?
  • What is happening on the alloy development front to help make further inroads for sheet, extrusions, forgings etc?
  • Will the new 7000 series alloys deliver on toughness and lightweighting?
  • Can the high-strength 6000 series alloys provide comparable performance?
  • Does more work need to be done in the area of stamping, joining, coating etc?
  • Sustainability and life cycles: weighing the relative technical, logistic and economic factors of recyclablility for steel vs aluminium-intensive vehicles
  • Can auto industry growth be a win:win situation for both aluminium and steel?


Panellists include:
Alex Woodrow, Managing Director, KGP Auto, UK
Philippe Aubron, Chief Marketing Officer, ArcelorMittal Auto Europe, Luxembourg
Martin Jarrett, Global Technical Director, Automotive Structures & Industry Business Unit, Constellium, UK
Geoff Scamans, Chief Scientific Officer, Innoval Technology, UK


 

Session VIII: Getting a clear insight into construction, aerospace and other end-use dynamics

 

Moderator: Chris Bayliss,Deputy Secretary General, Intl Aluminium Institute, UK

12.15 Building and sustaining markets for aluminium extruded profiles

  • How is the overall extrusion market faring today? Is it still suffering from overcapacity?
  • What trends are we seeing in construction, renewable energy, transport, thermal management, engineering etc?
  • What will drive future growth in extrusions demand – price, performance, legislation, eco-issues?
  • Meeting client needs and growing markets through customised design and tailored solutions

John Thuestad, Business Area President, Sapa Europe, Norway


12.40 Applying Lean manufacturing principles and practice to aluminium milling and fabricating

  • What is Lean manufacturing and what are its objectives?
  • Eliminating waste to improve quality while reducing production time and costs
  • Continuous improvement, flexibility, automation and supplier relationships as tools to achieving Lean production

Manuel Ruano, Chief Operating Officer, Aludium, Spain


13.05 Dissecting materials choices in aeropace and demand prospects for aluminium

  • What ultimately drives design and material selection in commercial aerospace, and how does this vary by aerostructure, engine and component?
  • What is the total material consumption in aerospace, and what proportion is aluminium? How will this change over the next decade?
  • How does aluminium segment in terms of product form?
  • Why have composites displaced aluminium in the latest widebody aircraft?
  • What is the likely design of next generation aircraft, and to what extent is "recyclability" considered?

Bill Bihlman, President, Aerolytics LLC, USA



13.30 Conference close and lunch

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